Russell: Baahida dhuxusha Shiinaha ee adag iyada oo Australia laga mamnuucay soo dejinta qiimaha isu soo baxyada qiimaha shidaalka

(Fikradaha halkan lagu muujiyey waa kuwa qoraaga ah, Clyde Russell, qoraa u ah Reuters.)

Dhuxusha badeedku waxa ay noqotay guulaysta aamusnaanta ka mid ah badeecooyinka tamarta, iyada oo aan lahayn dareenka saliidda cayriin ee sare iyo gaaska dabiiciga ah (LNG), laakiin ku raaxaysanaya faa'iidooyin xooggan iyada oo ay jirto baahida kor u kaca.

Labada dhuxusha kulaylka ah, ee loo isticmaalo warshadaha tamarta, iyo coking dhuxusha, ee loo isticmaalo samaynta birta, ayaa si xooggan u soo baxay bilihii la soo dhaafay.Labada xaaladoodna darawalku wuxuu inta badan ahaa Shiinaha, oo ah wax soo saarka ugu weyn adduunka, soo dejinta iyo isticmaalka shidaalka.

Waxaa jira laba walxood oo saameyn ku leh saamaynta Shiinuhu ku leeyahay suuqyada dhuxusha badda ee Aasiya;Baahi xooggan maadaama dhaqaalaha Shiinaha uu ka soo kabanayo cudurka faafa ee coronavirus;iyo siyaasadda Beijing ee lagu mamnuucayo wax soo dejinta Australia.

Labada walxoodba waxay ka muuqdaan qiimaha, dhuxusha kulaylka tayada hoose ee Indonesia ayaa ah ka faa'iidaysiga ugu weyn.

Tilmaanta toddobaadlaha ah ee dhuxusha Indonesia oo leh qiime tamar ah 4,200 kilocalories halkii kiilo (kcal/kg), sida lagu qiimeeyay wakaaladda warbixinta qiimaha badeecadaha ee Argus, ayaa kor u kacday ku dhawaad ​​saddex meelood meel halka uu 2021 ka hooseeyo oo ah $36.81 tonne ilaa $63.98 usbuuca. 2-da Luulyo.

Waxaa jira cunsur-jiidida dalabka oo gacan ka geysanaya kor u qaadista qiimaha dhuxusha Indonesia, iyadoo xogta laga helayo falanqeeyayaasha badeecadaha ee Kpler ay muujinayso Shiinaha inuu ka soo dhoofiyay 18.36 milyan oo tan oo laga keenay maraakiibta ugu weyn adduunka ee dhuxusha kulaylka bishii Juun.

Tani waxay ahayd mugga labaad ee ugu weyn ee Shiinuhu ka keeno Indonesia marka loo eego diiwaannada Kpler ee ku laabanaya Jannaayo 2017, oo kaliya ee December 25.64 milyan oo tan.

Refinitiv, oo sida Kpler ula socota dhaq-dhaqaaqa markabka, ayaa shiinuhu ka soo dejiyo Indonesia wax yar ka hooseeya bishii Juun 14.96 milyan oo tan.Laakin labada adeeg ayaa isku raacay in tani ay tahay bishii labaad ee ugu sareysay diiwaanka, iyadoo xogta Refinitiv ay dib ugu laabaneyso Janaayo 2015.

Labaduba waxay ku heshiiyaan in shiinuhu ka soo dejiyo Australia uu hoos ugu dhacay eber isagoo ka ahaa ilaa 7-8 milyan tan bishii taas oo ka badneyd ilaa mamnuucida aan rasmiga ahayn ee Beijing la soo rogay bartamihii sanadkii hore.

Wadarta dhuxusha Shiinaha laga keeno dhammaan wadamada bishii June waxay ahayd 31.55 milyan tan, sida uu sheegay Kpler, iyo 25.21 milyan sida uu sheegay Refinitiv.

Australia dib u soo laabatay

Laakiin halka Australia, oo ah dhoofinta labaad ee ugu weyn ee dhuxusha kulaylka iyo tan ugu weyn ee dhuxusha, laga yaabo inay lumisay suuqa Shiinaha, waxay awood u yeelatay inay hesho beddelaad iyo qiimaha dhuxushadeeda ayaa sidoo kale si xoog leh kor ugu kacay.

Dhuxul-kulul heersare ah oo cabbirkeedu yahay 6,000 kcal/kg oo ku yaal dekedda Newcastle waxay ku dhammaatay todobaadkii hore $135.63 tan, taasoo ah tii ugu sarreysay muddo 10 sano ah, iyo in ka badan kala badh labadii bilood ee la soo dhaafay.

Heerkan dhuxusha waxaa inta badan iibsada Japan, South Korea iyo Taiwan, kuwaas oo ka hooseeya Shiinaha iyo Hindiya oo ah kuwa ugu horreeya Aasiya soo dejinta dhuxusha.

Saddexdaas waddan ayaa 14.77 milyan oo tan oo nooc kasta oo dhuxul ah ka keenay Australia bishii Juun, sida uu sheegay Kpler, oo hoos uga dhacay May 17.05 milyan, laakiin si xooggan ayuu uga kacay 12.46 milyan bishii Juun 2020.

Laakiin badbaadiyaha dhabta ah ee dhuxusha Australiya wuxuu ahaa Hindiya, taasoo soo dejisay rikoor 7.52 milyan oo tan ah dhammaan darajooyinka bishii Juun, laga soo bilaabo 6.61 milyan bishii Maajo iyo kaliya 2.04 milyan Juun 2020.

Hindiya waxay u janjeertaa inay ka soo iibsato dhuxusha kulaylka heerka dhexe ee Australia, taasoo ku iibisa qiimo dhimis 6,000 kcal/kg oo shidaal ah.

Argus waxa uu Newcastle ku qiimeeyay 5,500 kcal/kg dhuxusha $78.29 tan bishii Luulyo 2. Halka darajadan ay labanlaabtay heerarkii ugu hooseeyay ee 2020, haddana waxa ay 42% ka jaban tahay shidaalka tayada sare leh ee ay caanka ku yihiin iibsada Waqooyiga Aasiya.

Qiyaasta dhoofinta dhuxusha ee Australia ayaa si weyn uga soo kabsatay dhibaatadii ugu horreysay ee ay sababtay mamnuucida Shiinaha iyo luminta baahida cudurka faafa ee coronavirus.Kpler ayaa ku qiimeeyay shixnadaha Juun 31.37 milyan tan oo dhammaan darajooyin ah, oo ka badan 28.74 milyan bishii Maajo iyo 27.13 milyan bishii Nofembar, taasoo ahayd bishii ugu liidatay 2020.

Guud ahaan, way caddahay in shaambada Shiinaha ay ka badan tahay isu soo baxa hadda jira ee qiimaha dhuxusha: dalabkeeda xooggan ayaa kor u qaadaya dhuxusha Indonesia, iyo mamnuucidda wax soo saarka Australia waxay ku qasbeysaa dib-u-habeynta socodka ganacsiga ee Aasiya.

(Tafatirka waxaa sameeyay Kenneth Maxwell)

 


Waqtiga boostada: Jul-12-2021